Wereldwijd record aan windenergie
29 oktober 2015 – FTI Consulting, een wereldwijd opererend adviesbedrijf, heeft een nieuwe Global Wind Market Update uitgebracht. FTI voorspelt ook dit jaar een record aan nieuwe windparken: 59 GW.
Uit een bericht van MO Mondiaal Nieuws
‘(…) Het is het tweede opeenvolgende jaar dat records worden gebroken. In 2014 gebeurde dat met nieuwe installaties met een capaciteit van 52 gigawatt. FTI verwacht dat 264 gigawatt geïnstalleerd zal worden tussen 2015 en 2019, en rekent voor de periode 2015-2024 op 592 gigawatt. De voorspelling voor 2015-2019 werd voor Noord-Amerika met 12,4 procent naar boven bijgesteld. FTI verwacht in 2016 sterke groei in Canada en heeft ook het optimisme over Amerikaanse Clean Power Plan meegewogen. Voor Azië en de Pacific werd de voorspelling tot 2019 met 5,6 procent bijgesteld naar boven. Met name in China wordt sterke, stabiele groei verwacht. (…)’
Uit een persbericht van FTI Consulting
‘(…) FTI Intelligence has raised its forecasts for the global wind market, which is headed for a second consecutive record year in 2015. New installations globally in 2015 are expected to reach 59GW, compared to the 52GW installed in 2014. Total installations for the 2015-2019 period are now expected to reach 264GW – an increase of 5.6 percent from FTI Intelligence’s first quarter 2015 forecast. Total installations for the 2015-2024 period are expected to reach 592GW corresponding to a 3.3 percent compound annual growth rate between 2014 and 2024.
The new installation forecasts in 2015-2019 were upgraded by 12.4 percent for North America. The key drivers are the expected strong growth in Canada in 2016 and the optimism created by the political debate about the revised U.S. federal Clean Power Plan. FTI Intelligence has increased its Asia Pacific forecast for total installations by 2019 by 5.6 percent as it expects strong continued growth in China due to a clear visibility of project pipelines in 2016.
FTI Intelligence estimates firm order intake for the top 10 wind turbine OEMs in the first half of 2015 was approximately 20GW. Danish-owned manufacturer Vestas leads the intake, driven by near record orders of 3GW in the second quarter of 2015. Chinese companies, Goldwind and United Power take second and third place, respectively, by taking the advantage of strong market growth in their home market. Germany’s Siemens, the second largest wind turbine manufacturer in 2014, saw a relatively low order intake due to a lull in offshore orders in both the first and second quarters of 2015.
Confirmed offshore orders for the first half of 2015 totalled 1,203MW, led by Senvion (443MW) followed by MHI-Vestas (423MW) and Siemens (337MW). (…) “In 2015, the global wind market will reach a new record of activity, driven by the extraordinary strength of China’s market,” explained Feng Zhao, Director in the FTI-CL Energy practice. “However, we can still expect some volatility over the next five years, before annual installations build to the next peak around 2021.”
“Although the wind market still suffers from policy uncertainty, continual improvements in technology and innovations in finance are changing ‘facts on the ground’ and making wind power directly competitive with fossil fuels in growing areas of the world – despite low oil and gas prices,” says Aris Karcanias, Managing Director at FTI Consulting and Co-Lead of the Company’s Clean Energy practice. “There is a new sense of maturity and confidence in the wind industry, as well as an ongoing process of consolidation around companies with strong financial and industrial capabilities.” (…)’
Bronnen
MO Mondiaal Nieuws, 28 oktober 2015: Windenergie breekt in 2015 opnieuw records
FTI Consulting, persbericht, 26 oktober 2015: Vestas Leads Wind Turbine Order Flow as Industry Heads for a Record in 2015
FTI Consulting, rapport, 26 oktober 2015: Global Wind Market Update – H2 2015 Briefing (registratie, jaarabt € 5.000)
Foto: Macarthur Park, Australië (foto Vestas)
